21.12.2024, Moscow.
The state system in an Arab or another peripheral modernization-oriented country, unless is has a heated ideology and a brutal leader, begins to decay, the leader of the Essence of Time movement, political scientist and philosopher Sergey Kurginyan said on December 13 on the program Conversation with a Sage on radio Zvezda.
Kurginyan expressed an opinion that “modernization-oriented states in the Arab or another periphery, all these Saddam Husseins and Mubaraks, can only keep hold of the nation in a hard situation (due to multiple tribes, multiple differences) through ferocity. Assad’s father was a ferocious person.”
The political scientist reminded about the rule of such leaders as Saddam Hussein in Iraq and Muammar Gaddafi in Libya. These leaders used force to suppress any signs of discontent and to enforce order in their countries.
“As soon as this drive goes away to be replaced with somewhat melancholic halfheartedness like ‘the security services will take care of it for me’ everything begins to decay,” the analyst explained.
“The Syrian system lacking any heated ideology and ferocity decayed,” he noted, and he stressed that it is the ferocity of Hafez al-Assad’s regime that kept the nation together for a while.
According to the analyst, after ferocity and ideological motivation are gone, a process of decay begins. It does not manifest itself in the form of mass protests or revolutions, it goes in a more discreet manner.
This kind of decay is typical of “bureaucratic modernist systems lacking any heated ideology that are not brutal anymore or moderately brutal, slightly relaxed, moderately or severely corrupt,” Kurginyan explained.
This kind of processes were observed in various eras. The decay of the Roman Empire, the USSR under Brezhnev, and the regimes in the Arab countries, all of them demonstrated that a lack of any strong ideology and hard line corrupts the system.
“This is a very important phenomenon of global history,” Kurginyan stressed.
The philosopher also compared the decay with various diseases. He noted that some diseases have the form of an acute crisis while other ones progress slowly and remain unnoticed; oncology shows no crises.
“They decay. And you can never know when they collapse and from what. You sneeze, or a window leaf is slammed, or a door is closed too hard, and something explodes nearby. You remain unaware and everything seems to be absolutely fine until its collapses all at once,” the analyst explained.
The political scientist noted that this process is hard to detect. If people do not go to the square, terrorists do not bomb anything, simply “it continues to decay, and it looks like everything is fine, everything is perfect,” he explained.
“Decay is one of the hardest-detectable and underestimated phenomena in global history, including contemporary one. Especially our bureaucracy cannot detect it, firstly, because it is organized similarly itself, and secondly, because it does not monitor it. It has no tools to do it,” Sergey Kurginyan stressed.
Source: Rossa Primavera News Agency
