Maidan technologies in Karakalpakstan. Part 0
In recent years we have already witnessed several color revolutions, and their attempts, in the republics of the former Soviet Union. We have seen the Euromaidan in Kiev, which has already become a classic of coup d’etat, Maidan attempts in Minsk, Alma-Ata, etc.
This time Nukus, the capital of Karakalpakstan, became the arena for applying Maidan technologies.
Omitting the reason, on which the riots of 26 June – 2 July in Karakalpakstan took place, I note, that Maidan provocateurs always try to use to the maximum of just social protest.
Protest is usually supported by the fake news spread by the media and social networks. A scandal with someone’s arrest, injury, murder is often inflated. The state is portrayed as the villain, while provocateurs are portrayed as fighters for the people and their representatives.
From the beginning of the Maidan, provocateurs completely monopolize the right to speak on behalf of the people, although they usually have very little to do with the citizens.
Then a crowd gathers, arms itself by available means, provocations are made by the security forces, the response of the security forces is filmed and used to create excitement and even greater riots.
Then, statements are made to the international public and a picture of “a totalitarian state suppressing a freedom-loving but oppressed people” is created.
But in fact, it turns out that the “representatives of the people” are tightly bound to local NCOs, and perhaps even brought in from abroad.
At the same time, the supposedly spontaneous protests are obviously organized and controlled. Experienced provocateurs act in the crowd. Bodies are sure to appear.
Responsibility for the murders is pinned on the security forces. Although later it may easily turn out that the dead were killed in the back with hunting rifles or were killed by accident (recall the confrontation between Gorbachyov and the State Committee on the State of Emergency in 1991 GKChP, the events on Maidan in Kiev, etc.).
Let’s trace the presence of these elements in the past unrest in Karakalpakstan and find out if these were spontaneous protests or well-prepared?
Maidan technologies in Karakalpakstan. Part 1: Creating a pretext for riots
The riots began on 1 July. A local activist and opposition journalist Daulet Tajimuratov after Friday prayers (that is, when many people gather in one place) called on citizens to come to a rally on 5 July, allegedly coordinated by the authorities, to demand the liberation of Karakalpakstan.
He said that Karakalpakstan was occupied by Uzbekistan. Secondly, he said that there was an opportunity to demand “liberation” in a peaceful, i.e. safe, way.
In general, the theme of “freedom” is a favorite topic for pro-Western Maidan activists. Since no one can say exactly what this “freedom” means and how it differs from sovereignty, this word becomes the universal slogan of any color revolution.
Everyone wants freedom. But the fact is that everyone understands it differently, and the majority does not understand what it means at all. Therefore, it is possible to offer “freedom” to everyone without specifying the details.
Maidan technologies in Karakalpakstan. Part 2: An evil and cowardly state
Then comes the second important mechanism of the color revolutions: the pendulum of “arrest and release.” The security services arrest Tadzhimuratov, and then they release him. It is very important to show that the state is weak, that it is afraid of the people.
Before that, it is important to show that the state is very evil (Tadzhimuratov’s sister spoke about the blood being everywhere in the house of the detained activist and the 8-year-old child taken away by security forces) and cowardly (after a series of publications and protests, the detainee was released).
No one is asking where the child is, and no one ponders why the detainee, who has allegedly lost so much blood, feels himself so well and cheerfully demands “freedom.”
Part 3: One has to act, one has no time to think
The third important condition of the Maidan is not to let the people think, to pay attention to annoying little things, to compare, to ask questions. Is the detainee’s house indeed splattered with blood? Why is he not in intensive care, but cheerfully demanding “freedom”? Is someone killed? Why then were the wounds not characteristic of combat weapons, and why was he shot in the back? It doesn’t matter! One has to act!
It is important to show the large size of the crowd. Further, we see that the crowd acts in an uncommonly well-coordinated and reasonable way. The police are disarmed, the prisoners are released (after which the citizens are afraid to go out in the streets, the former prisoners are committing acts of violence, all the crimes are blamed on the state, and the police have to spend their resources not on suppressing the riots, but on catching the prisoners who have escaped).
In the crowd, we find “foremen” who coordinate the crowd and give commands to storm the governmental buildings.
Part 4. Let the whole world see.
Media and social media support is important. The publication of heartbreaking photos, videos and appeals achieves two goals: 1) to justify the protesters, and 2) to condemn the state.
Everything is used – falsifications, memes, trolling, bans on dissenters. The beauty of this is that the work of the media and social networks can be supported by people who have nothing to do with the protests. People from other countries, and other nationalities can do this…
Of course, by happy coincidence, they are often from the region or city where the unrest is taking place, just at the moment these people live in another country, such as Ukraine.
Part 5. Help! Democracy is in danger!
There must be an appeal to the world hegemon. It is necessary to send a signal, so that there is a reason for international intervention. Even if not military, even diplomatic.
Famous Orientalist and expert on Central Asia Aleksandr Knyazev, commenting on the events in Nukus, noted that the goal of the action was simply to remove the issue of Karakalpak separatism from the margins.
That is, grants can now be given to NGOs that monitor the rights of the Karakalpak people, and the government of Uzbekistan will receive yet another “homework assignment,” without fulfillment of which the way to the WTO will be denied.
Conclusions
Belarussian Presindent Lukashenko made perhaps the most comprehensive conclusion about the events in Nukus. “I told you – Uzbekistan, get ready. I remember they even took offense at me then. Here you are, they began to escalate the situation in Uzbekistan.”
Indeed, after the January 2022 events in Alma-Ata in Kazakhstan, Lukashenko warned that the situation in the entire region will be escalated. Of course, he immediately named the one, who benefits from it – the USA. And there is little doubt about that.
Neither Kazakhstan, nor Russia, nor China needs chaos in the region. Afghanistan is enough. Meanwhile, the United States does its best to strengthen its position in the region and create there its military bases. Uzbekistan is the most suitable for this.
Of course, one can recall the activities of the Fund for Protection of Mass Media, the United States Department of States with the US ambassador, and Radio Liberty, and all the rest. But this will probably be recalled by others anyway.
The main question is what the authorities in Uzbekistan will do.
Translated from https://t.me/shotday/334, https://t.me/shotday/335, https://t.me/shotday/336, https://t.me/shotday/337.
