The Post-Soviet states are at a crossroads, or there will be a gathering of territories, or complete disintegration and dissolution, Belarusian political analyst Alexey Dzermant wrote on November 18 on his Telegram-channel.
“What is happening in the post-Soviet countries is still an ongoing process of disintegration of the USSR and its fragments. The process has slowed down but has not been reversed,” the expert noted.
He stressed that even the situation with rimea, at first glance similar to the transition from shrinkage to a new gathering of states, is a continuation of the disintegration of Ukraine, which existed in Soviet times.
“So far, the tendency towards gathering is very unstable, although it is most noticeable in Russia, but there it is still more of a situational rather than a strategy,” explained Dzermant.
In his opinion, the situation will be reversed after the breakthrough in the Russian-Belarusian integration, but this is very much opposed, both in Belarus and Russia.
He added that another possible launch of integration could be the joining of all unrecognized republics to Russia: the DPR, LPR, Abkhazia, South Ossetia and Transnistria. According to him, it would be a transition from “anchoring” to radical integration. “But it seems that there is no consensus in the Russian elites on this issue, the integration is taking place gradualy by issuing Russian passports,” said Dzermant.
“In general, we are at a crossroads. Either further deep integration or complete disintegration and dissolution,” the political scientist stressed.
Source: Rossa Primavera News Agency