Analyst: Direct military conflict with Russia has become a reality for the EU

14.11.2022, Bali.

Two of the founding countries of the EU – France and Germany – have changed their rhetoric in discussing a direct military conflict with Russia; now it has become not a hypothesis, but a reality for them,  analyst Elena Karayeva says. RIA Novosti published her article on November 14.

According to her, “now, for Berlin and Paris, a direct military conflict with Russia is no longer a geopolitical hypothesis but a geopolitical reality.”

Such a policy, according to Karayeva, sets a new tone in the relations of European states and “changes the balance of power both in the EU and in NATO.”

As an example of EU preparations for war, she cites the fact of allocation of at least 100 billion euros from the German budget to the military department for the re-equipment of the German armed forces. Karayeva draws an analogy between Joseph Goebbels’ slogan “Guns instead of butter” and Scholz’s phrase “The security of our country is at stake,” drawing readers’ attention to the fact that huge budget spending on the German army takes place during an energy crisis, when it would be more appropriate to spend these amounts on economic recovery.

According to Karayeva, French allocations for the army are somewhat more modest than German, amounting to about 44 billion euros. At the same time, the French National Military Strategy Review‘s rhetoric is no less belligerent, “The army is strengthening its morale, preparing for war.”

However, the analyst draws attention to the fact that the modern French army “does not differ too much in spirit and equipment from the one that was shuffling along the Smolensk road in the direction of Paris.” This is what the officials in the Parisian lobby who supply the small French contingent stationed in Romania say. According to Karaeva, against this background, Macron’s threatening speeches aimed at further escalation of the conflict with Russia look more like a bluff.

Thus, the analyst says, “today some countries in the EU can increase their military budgets by an order of magnitude (for example, Germany), other countries are able to increase military budgets by a couple of billions and some have no financial possibilities at all.” This is why disputes and conflicts may arise and are already arising within Europe itself. Karayeva notes that there is no trust among EU countries in each other, and without it, it is impossible to “build a united front” against Russia.

“What if all of this, this whole spectacle, is devised to please Washington by giving the Pentagon what they call a ‘signal’?” Karayeva asks.

In other words, “deprived of operational space both politically and even financially,” the European leaders are simply “using belligerent rhetoric” and intimidating Russia, nostalgic for the times when their armies were really powerful, concludes Karayeva.

Source: Rossa Primavera News Agency

Leave a Reply