Kurginyan: Time to name the authors of failed COVID-19 forecasts

11.08.2020, Moscow.

Authorities must call the authors of the failed COVID-19 mortality rate forecasts by their names, said the leader of the Essence of Time movement and political scientist Sergey Kurginyan on August 10 in a new issue of “The Meaning of the Game” broadcast released on the movement’s YouTube channel.

“Moscow mayor Sergey Sobyanin is not saying the most important thing: who is the author of the failed forecast, which caused such devastating effects?”, said Kurginyan, commenting on Sobyanin’s statement about the expected high pressure on Moscow’s healthcare system in mid-May when the number of infected with COVID-19 would have reached its peak.

Neil Ferguson, an English mathematician from Imperial College London, who authored the models for the spread of the novel coronavirus and its mortality has become the source of forecasts on the global scale, noted the political scientist.

Russia too could have become a hostage to Ferguson’s forecasts, suggested the political scientist.

“Of course, it would be nice to receive accurate information on this matter from Sergey Sobyanin and other authorities, such as the Russian Health Minister Mikhail Murashko,” added the analyst.

In an interview with the reporters, Moscow deputy mayor Maxim Liksutov, while evaluating quarantine measures and existing forecasts, stated on July 22 that “in Moscow, those awful initial forecasts did not come true.”

Prior to that, on July 3, the head of the Russian Health Ministry, Mikhail Murashko, suggested the possibility of millions of coronavirus victims in Russia if those necessary protective measures that had been taken were not applied.

On March 16, Imperial College London published a report: “Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand.”

Measures to reduce deaths from the coronavirus and peak demand for medical care proposed in this report were subsequently applied by most of the world’s countries.

Source: Rossa Primavera News Agency

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