Political Tsunami


POLITICAL TSUNAMI. Analysis of events in Northern Africa and the Middle East

Authors: Sergey Kurginyan, Yury Byaly, Anna Kudinova, Irina Kurginyan, Vladimir Novikov, Vladimir Ovchinsky, Maria Podkopaeva, Maria Ryjova

Editor Sergey Kurginyan

Experimental Creative Centre International Public Foundation


This monograph represents the results of collective research carried out by a team of analysts under the guidance of Sergey Kurginyan. The socio-economic, political and conceptual roots of the unprecedented wave of “revolutionary excesses” of 2011 in Northern Africa and the Middle East, as well as external influence on the process are dealt with on the basis of a wide range of factual evidence and in a broad historical context. An analysis of internal and external “fault lines” and other latent “driving forces” of these “revolutionary excesses” is provided, as well as an assessment of the possible impact of developing processes on specific countries, the region as a whole and the future world order.

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Escalation of the Global Gas War. Part XI


China made an ambitious bid on its concept of the New Great Silk Road, and it cannot lose this bid without losing face


In the previous part of our investigation, we established that members of the Pakistani parliament refused the request by Saudi Arabia to join the anti-Houthi (in other words, anti-Shiite) “Operation Decisive Storm” in Yemen. One of the publicly stated reasons for the refusal were references to internal conflicts between Sunnis and Shiites in Pakistan itself.

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Escalation of the Global Gas War. Part X


Pakistan is extremely interested in the Peace Pipeline project. One of the most acute economic problems facing Islamabad is its catastrophic electricity deficit, which seriously limits the implementation of a wide array of projects aimed at industrializing the country.


China’s proposal to build the “Peace Pipeline” from Iran to Pakistan (which, as we discussed in the previous part of the study, The Wall Street Journal presented as sensational) was in no way unexpected.

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Escalation of Global Gas War. Part IX


Some analysts have immediately began to question why the oil and gas dependence of Europe on Iran is better than the same dependence on Russia. What are the benefits? But their voices – so far! – are not really heard


Problems of Turkmenistan, which we have discussed in the previous part of this study, are not limited to the budget deficit, street protests of the population, the competition between TANAP and TAPI pipelines, and the threats of intrusion of ‘Islamic State’ militants from Afghanistan. The point is also that, according to some experts, the discord in the Turkmen elite is growing. In particular, analysts, who understand the particular characteristic of Turkmenistan in-depth, say that, in this country, the ‘street’ protests are, in principle, impossible without the direct sanction of the certain leaders of the elite.

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Escalation of the Global “Gas War”. Part VI


There is speculation that the entire project of the EEU is actually directed at creating a preferential environment in Europe for American shale gas and for American petroleum corporations, as well as for the construction of American nuclear power plants and for shipments of American nuclear fuel


The European “Gas Knot”

Even before the Ukrainian Maidan, there was significant disagreement in Europe regarding the role that Russian gas can and ought to play in the EU countries’ energy supply.

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